- Suspicion score
- A strategy's 0-100 output for one trade. On the Flagged Trades feed, scores below 50 render as low severity, 50-69 as mid, and 70+ as high.
- Info score
- A 1-10 rating Panoptes assigns per market: how much information asymmetry plausibly exists around that market's outcome -- how many people could realistically have advance, non-public knowledge of it. Most markets score 1-3; 8-9 is rare, roughly the top 5%.
- Size z-score
- How large a trade is relative to typical trade sizes in its own market, as a statistical z-score -- not its raw dollar amount. A z-score of 2 is roughly the 98th percentile for that market; 3 is roughly the 99.9th percentile.
- Contrarian signal
- How far a bet goes against the market's own implied probability. Only counted for Yes bets on unlikely outcomes -- see How Panoptes Works for why No bets are treated as neutral.
- Cluster / cluster size
- A cluster is a group of distinct accounts betting the same side of the same market close together in time. Cluster size is how many accounts are in it -- typical clusters run 3-34 accounts, around 18 on average.
- zscore_gated
- Panoptes's primary strategy: a continuous 0-100 score with a $500 minimum trade size gate.
- dollar_exposure
- A strategy that weighs the actual dollar amount at risk more heavily than the other two.
- rule_based
- A transparent strategy: $500 minimum size plus at least two of three secondary signals, no continuous math.